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Papers/Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting ...

Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting With Heterogeneous Data

Tim Salzmann, Boris Ivanovic, Punarjay Chakravarty, Marco Pavone

2020-01-09ECCV 2020 8Trajectory ForecastingMotion ForecastingSelf-Driving CarsTrajectory Prediction
PaperPDFCodeCode(official)Code

Abstract

Reasoning about human motion is an important prerequisite to safe and socially-aware robotic navigation. As a result, multi-agent behavior prediction has become a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems, such as self-driving cars. While there exist many methods for trajectory forecasting, most do not enforce dynamic constraints and do not account for environmental information (e.g., maps). Towards this end, we present Trajectron++, a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of a general number of diverse agents while incorporating agent dynamics and heterogeneous data (e.g., semantic maps). Trajectron++ is designed to be tightly integrated with robotic planning and control frameworks; for example, it can produce predictions that are optionally conditioned on ego-agent motion plans. We demonstrate its performance on several challenging real-world trajectory forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of state-of-the-art deterministic and generative methods.

Results

TaskDatasetMetricValueModel
Trajectory PredictionETHAvg AMD/AMV 8/121.01Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionETH/UCYADE-8/120.21Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionETH/UCYFDE-8/120.39Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesMinADE_101.51Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesMinADE_51.88Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesMinFDE_19.52Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesMissRateTopK_2_100.57Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesMissRateTopK_2_50.7Trajectron++
Trajectory PredictionnuScenesOffRoadRate0.25Trajectron++

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