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Papers/Pattern-Matching Dynamic Memory Network for Dual-Mode Traf...

Pattern-Matching Dynamic Memory Network for Dual-Mode Traffic Prediction

Wenchao Weng, Mei Wu, Hanyu Jiang, Wanzeng Kong, Xiangjie Kong, Feng Xia

2024-08-12Traffic PredictionPrediction
PaperPDFCode(official)

Abstract

In recent years, deep learning has increasingly gained attention in the field of traffic prediction. Existing traffic prediction models often rely on GCNs or attention mechanisms with O(N^2) complexity to dynamically extract traffic node features, which lack efficiency and are not lightweight. Additionally, these models typically only utilize historical data for prediction, without considering the impact of the target information on the prediction. To address these issues, we propose a Pattern-Matching Dynamic Memory Network (PM-DMNet). PM-DMNet employs a novel dynamic memory network to capture traffic pattern features with only O(N) complexity, significantly reducing computational overhead while achieving excellent performance. The PM-DMNet also introduces two prediction methods: Recursive Multi-step Prediction (RMP) and Parallel Multi-step Prediction (PMP), which leverage the time features of the prediction targets to assist in the forecasting process. Furthermore, a transfer attention mechanism is integrated into PMP, transforming historical data features to better align with the predicted target states, thereby capturing trend changes more accurately and reducing errors. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model over existing benchmarks. The source codes are available at: https://github.com/wengwenchao123/PM-DMNet.

Results

TaskDatasetMetricValueModel
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps MAE2.6PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps MAPE6.57PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps RMSE5.36PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps MAE2.61PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps MAPE6.55PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(M)12 steps RMSE5.33PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMS07MAE@1h19.18PM-DMnet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMS07MAE@1h19.35PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps MAE18.34PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps MAPE12.05PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps RMSE30.36PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps MAE18.37PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps MAPE12.01PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD412 steps RMSE30.68PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps MAE2.79PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps MAPE6.99PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps RMSE5.81PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps MAE2.81PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps MAPE7.13PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD7(L)12 steps RMSE5.79PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps MAE13.4PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps MAPE8.87PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps RMSE23.22PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps MAE13.55PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps MAPE9.04PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD812 steps RMSE23.35PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps MAE19.18PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps MAPE7.95PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps RMSE33.15PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps MAE19.35PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps MAPE8.05PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMSD712 steps RMSE33.33PM-DMNet(P)
Traffic PredictionPeMS08MAE@1h13.4PM-DMNet(R)
Traffic PredictionPeMS08MAE@1h13.55PM-DMNet(P)

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