Ziniu Hu, Weiqing Liu, Jiang Bian, Xuanzhe Liu, Tie-Yan Liu
Stock trend prediction plays a critical role in seeking maximized profit from stock investment. However, precise trend prediction is very difficult since the highly volatile and non-stationary nature of stock market. Exploding information on Internet together with advancing development of natural language processing and text mining techniques have enable investors to unveil market trends and volatility from online content. Unfortunately, the quality, trustworthiness and comprehensiveness of online content related to stock market varies drastically, and a large portion consists of the low-quality news, comments, or even rumors. To address this challenge, we imitate the learning process of human beings facing such chaotic online news, driven by three principles: sequential content dependency, diverse influence, and effective and efficient learning. In this paper, to capture the first two principles, we designed a Hybrid Attention Networks to predict the stock trend based on the sequence of recent related news. Moreover, we apply the self-paced learning mechanism to imitate the third principle. Extensive experiments on real-world stock market data demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.
| Task | Dataset | Metric | Value | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Market Prediction | Astock | Accuray | 57.35 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Market Prediction | Astock | F1-score | 56.61 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Market Prediction | Astock | Precision | 58.41 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Market Prediction | Astock | Recall | 57.2 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Trend Prediction | Astock | Accuray | 57.35 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Trend Prediction | Astock | F1-score | 56.61 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Trend Prediction | Astock | Precision | 58.41 | HAN Stock |
| Stock Trend Prediction | Astock | Recall | 57.2 | HAN Stock |