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Papers/NAOMI: Non-Autoregressive Multiresolution Sequence Imputat...

NAOMI: Non-Autoregressive Multiresolution Sequence Imputation

Yukai Liu, Rose Yu, Stephan Zheng, Eric Zhan, Yisong Yue

2019-01-30NeurIPS 2019 12ImputationMultivariate Time Series ImputationImitation Learning
PaperPDFCode(official)

Abstract

Missing value imputation is a fundamental problem in spatiotemporal modeling, from motion tracking to the dynamics of physical systems. Deep autoregressive models suffer from error propagation which becomes catastrophic for imputing long-range sequences. In this paper, we take a non-autoregressive approach and propose a novel deep generative model: Non-AutOregressive Multiresolution Imputation (NAOMI) to impute long-range sequences given arbitrary missing patterns. NAOMI exploits the multiresolution structure of spatiotemporal data and decodes recursively from coarse to fine-grained resolutions using a divide-and-conquer strategy. We further enhance our model with adversarial training. When evaluated extensively on benchmark datasets from systems of both deterministic and stochastic dynamics. NAOMI demonstrates significant improvement in imputation accuracy (reducing average prediction error by 60% compared to autoregressive counterparts) and generalization for long range sequences.

Results

TaskDatasetMetricValueModel
ImputationPEMS-SFL2 Loss (10^-4)3.54NAOMI
ImputationBasketball Players MovementOOB Rate (10^−3) 1.733NAOMI
ImputationBasketball Players MovementPath Difference0.581NAOMI
ImputationBasketball Players MovementPath Length0.573NAOMI
ImputationBasketball Players MovementPlayer Distance 0.423NAOMI
ImputationBasketball Players MovementStep Change (10^−3)2.565NAOMI
Feature EngineeringPEMS-SFL2 Loss (10^-4)3.54NAOMI
Feature EngineeringBasketball Players MovementOOB Rate (10^−3) 1.733NAOMI
Feature EngineeringBasketball Players MovementPath Difference0.581NAOMI
Feature EngineeringBasketball Players MovementPath Length0.573NAOMI
Feature EngineeringBasketball Players MovementPlayer Distance 0.423NAOMI
Feature EngineeringBasketball Players MovementStep Change (10^−3)2.565NAOMI

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